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  • user warning: Table './conserva_drupal/cache_filter' is marked as crashed and should be repaired query: UPDATE cache_filter SET data = '<p>DEMOCRAT CANDIDATES: July 4, 2019</p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" src=\"http://conservativechronicle.com/sites/default/files/Morris.gif\" /></p>\n<p>The most recent Quinnipiac poll (post-debate) shows that California Sen. Kamala Harris is the best positioned to move up by picking up the support now going to Joe Biden.<br />\n A big part of Harris&rsquo; advantage comes from the fact that, while there&rsquo;s a decided leftist skew to Bernie Sanders&rsquo; and Elizabeth Warren&rsquo;s vote &mdash; and a moderate/conservative skew to Biden&rsquo;s &mdash; Harris draws equally from the left and the right.</p>\n<p> BIDEN DRAWS 13% of the vote among very liberal Democrats, 19% among somewhat-liberals and leads the pack with 30% among moderates and conservatives.<br />\n Sanders and Warren, in contrast, both skew left. In a mirror image of Biden&rsquo;s vote, Bernie gets 21% of very liberals, 13% among somewhat-liberals and only 8% among moderate and conservative Democrats. Similarly, Warren also gets most of her vote on the left, winning 22% of the very liberals, 11% of the somewhat-liberals and only 8% from moderate and conservative Democrats.<br />\n However, Harris draws evenly from all ideological segments. She gets 21% of very liberals, 22% among somewhat-liberals and 18% among moderate and conservative Democrats.</p>\n<p> THE IMPLICATIONS make Harris&rsquo; advantage clear: Biden&rsquo;s vote is the least secure. Most of his support comes from voters who are only marginally Democrat &mdash; less likely to vote and more likely to shift their preference.<br />\n Harris is more likely to attract disaffected Biden voters because she is as popular among those who share the former vice president&rsquo;s ideology as those who are more liberal. So, it&rsquo;s a lot easier for moderates and conservatives to switch to Harris than to leftists like Sanders or Warren. As Biden fades, Harris is the most likely to benefit.<br />\n 3. While Harris has moderates and somewhat-liberals almost to herself (after Biden fades) Warren faces brutal competition from Sanders &mdash; as well as Harris &mdash; among more-liberal voters.<br />\n 4. A post-debate Reuters poll shows Biden losing half of his African American vote share after his pathetic defense of his opposition to school busing. Before the debate, Biden was getting 40% of the black vote. After, he was down to 20%. The aura that surrounded Biden due to his close association with Obama is dissipating due to his past embrace of segregationist senators.</p>\n<p> THESE DEMOGRAPHICS lead to the conclusion that Kamala Harris, having put herself on the map with a strong debate performance, is going to be the most likely beneficiary of Joe Biden&rsquo;s downfall.</p>\n', created = 1575842194, expire = 1575928594, headers = '', serialized = 0 WHERE cid = '2:50f4aa37ca8e047bee6e03ee1326c6ff' in /home/conserva/public_html/includes/cache.inc on line 112.
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Harris most likely beneficiary of Biden’s fall

DEMOCRAT CANDIDATES: July 4, 2019

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