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Michael Barone

Californians - and Americans - reject racial quotas and preferences
11/23/2020 - 10:33pm
Michael Barone
RACE ISSUES: November 20, 2020 Among the most surprising of the multiple surprising results in this election was California’s rejection of Proposition 16. The ballot measure was supported by the Democratic supermajorities in the state legislature; by long-established corporations and Silicon Valley tech firms; by leaders of mainline churches and nonprofit organizations. Some $20 million...
A country where people are afraid to tell pollsters what they think
Michael Barone 11/14/2020 - 11:49pm
POLLING: November 13, 2020 “I like a good contrarian argument as much as the next guy,” tweets mild-mannered RealClearPolitics senior elections analyst Sean Trende, “but there’s really no getting around the fact that the 2020 polling was a pile of steaming garbage.” “The national polls were even worse than...
Some observations on an extended election night
Michael Barone 11/09/2020 - 9:07pm
ELECTION RESULTS: November 6, 2020 1. This was not a good night for conventional polling. My review in Tuesday’s Wall Street Journal of a book on the history of “polling failures” took perhaps too positive a view of contemporary polling. I find it remarkable that polling has been as accurate as it has been in a country where the...
The perils of political trifectas
Michael Barone 11/02/2020 - 10:26pm
DEMOCRATS: October 30, 2020 If the final election returns, when they finally come in, match the current polls, Joe Biden’s Democrats will win a trifecta: the White House and majorities in both houses of Congress. BIDEN CURRENTLY leads Donald Trump 51% to 44% in the RealClearPolitics average of recent polls and leads by a smaller margin of...
Both candidates’ risky strategies
Michael Barone 10/23/2020 - 4:39pm
PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGNS: October 23, 2020 Are both presidential candidates trying to lose? Or at least pursuing campaign strategies which put them at grave risk of defeat? IN NEARLY four years, Donald Trump has made little effort to win over the 50%-plus of voters who didn’t support him in 2016. Having proved that he could win the...
Court packing is no hypothetical
Michael Barone 10/19/2020 - 6:58pm
COURT PACKING: October 16, 2020 On Monday, Joe Biden finally broke his monthslong silence on court packing. Previously, he refused to take a stand — “whatever position I take in that, that’ll become the issue,” he said in the Sept. 29 debate, said voters didn’t “deserve to know” his position or would know...
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